Discussion about this post

User's avatar
LT's avatar

Solid post, two thoughts:

1. I probably won't do this myself but I'm interested in knowing if "timeout to sub on the O-line" is actually an effective strategy in the WUL/PUL. Coaches seem to think it's obviously the right choice but I see so many cases where that O-line turns it over before scoring. Curious to see what the stats say.

2. The "momentum breaking" timeout seems popular in the NBA. I wonder if people have studied whether it actually works there.

In fact, I just did a quick search and was able to find a paper. Here's a quote from the Results section:

"According to the regression results, the home team using a timeout is predicted to

enhance their short-term performance in the time period after the timeout (.5327 with timeout to .5253 without timeout), whereas for the away team, the usage of a timeout is predicted to hurt

their short-term performance slightly (.4909 with the timeout to .4901 without the timeout).

*However, it is important to note that neither of these predicted differences is statistically

significant*."

(links directly to PDF, I searched for "NBA momentum time out study")

https://scholarship.tricolib.brynmawr.edu/server/api/core/bitstreams/c13af59d-819a-457e-8be5-6fb978264a2f/content

Expand full comment
Milan's avatar

Yes I like the for spectators/fans argument, as a broadcaster it's a lot better to run promos during an existing stoppage already :D

Expand full comment
6 more comments...

No posts